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Neufchâteau weather: 15-day forecast

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Over the next 15 days in Neufchâteau, temperatures range from -1 to 12 °C with 11 rainy days (136.5 mm in total).

DayWeatherMinMaxPrecip.Wind
Todayrain1 °C9 °C10.0 mm29 km/h
Tomorrowlight rain4 °C8 °C13.9 mm34 km/h
Tue 17 Novheavy rain6 °C12 °C41.7 mm37 km/h
Wed 18 Novshowers6 °C8 °C15.0 mm28 km/h
Thu 19 Novdrizzle6 °C8 °C14.7 mm27 km/h
Fri 20 Novdrizzle4 °C7 °C12.4 mm26 km/h
Sat 21 Novovercast-1 °C6 °C0.0 mm12 km/h
Sun 22 Novshowers2 °C8 °C8.8 mm29 km/h
Mon 23 Novshowers4 °C7 °C9.8 mm28 km/h
Tue 24 Novlight drizzle4 °C6 °C3.6 mm13 km/h
Wed 25 Novlight drizzle4 °C7 °C0.6 mm19 km/h
Thu 26 Novovercast2 °C9 °C0.0 mm17 km/h
Fri 27 Novlight drizzle3 °C10 °C2.2 mm22 km/h
Sat 28 Novlight drizzle4 °C6 °C3.2 mm18 km/h
Sun 29 Novlight drizzle3 °C4 °C0.6 mm15 km/h

What the Neufchâteau forecast shows

The period looks steady in Neufchâteau: daytime highs average 8.3 °C in the first week and 7.2 °C afterwards, a difference of only 1.1 °C. Rain falls on 6 days in the first week and 5 days in the following 8 days.

Extremes of the period in Neufchâteau. Warmest day: Tuesday 17 Nov, with a high of 12 °C. Coolest day: Sunday 29 Nov, when the high stays at 4 °C. Coldest night: Saturday 21 Nov, down to -1 °C. Wettest day: Tuesday 17 Nov, with 41.7 mm. Strongest wind: Tuesday 17 Nov, gusting up to 37 km/h at most.

Over these 15 days the forecast highs average 7.7 °C, close to the 1991-2020 normal of 7.3 °C for the month (difference 0.4 °C).

Practical advice for the coming weeks

  • Rain is likely on 11 days: keep a waterproof jacket or an umbrella at hand and plan indoor alternatives for outdoor events.
  • Frost is possible, with a minimum of -1 °C on Saturday 21 Nov: protect plants and watch for slippery roads in the morning.
  • Temperatures swing by up to 13 °C between the coldest night and the warmest day: dress in layers.

How reliable is a long-range forecast?

The first three to five days for Neufchâteau are the most dependable. After about a week, a forecast gives a trend rather than an exact figure: the daily temperature can be off by several degrees and the timing of rain can shift by a day or more. Use the later days to plan broadly and check the page again as the date approaches, since it is updated several times a day.

Frequently asked questions

Will it rain in Neufchâteau in the next 15 days?

Rain of at least 1 mm is forecast on 11 of the next 15 days, 136.5 mm in total.

Which day will be the warmest in Neufchâteau?

Tuesday 17 Nov, with a forecast high of 12 °C.

Can a 15-day forecast be trusted?

The first days are reliable. The later days show the general trend (warmer, cooler, wetter or drier) more than exact values.

How far to trust the 15-day forecast for Neufchâteau

A forecast loses detail the further ahead it looks, so the 15 days for Neufchâteau are not equally dependable. Read them in bands, using the figures for this forecast.

  • Days 1 to 3 (Sunday 15 Nov to Tuesday 17 Nov): the most dependable stretch. Daytime highs average 9.5 °C, and at least 1 mm of rain is forecast on 3 of the 3 days. Use these days for fixed plans, travel and outdoor jobs that cannot move.
  • Days 4 to 7 (Wednesday 18 Nov to Saturday 21 Nov): the pattern is usually right, but timing can slip by a day. Highs average 7.3 °C with 3 wet days out of 4. Weather in Belgium is driven mostly by Atlantic disturbances arriving from the west, often one after another. A small change in the speed of a front moves rain and wind from one day to the next.
  • Days 8 to 15 (Sunday 22 Nov to Sunday 29 Nov): treat as a trend. Highs average 7.2 °C and at least 1 mm of rain is forecast on 5 of the 8 days, but the models disagree more and more at this range. Read it as warmer or cooler, wetter or drier than usual, not as a day-by-day promise.

Neufchâteau against the 1991-2020 normal for November

The 1991-2020 normal for November in Neufchâteau is a daytime high of 7.3 °C and a night-time low of 2.6 °C. Over these 15 days the forecast gives an average high of 7.7 °C and an average low of 3.4 °C: highs are close to the normal (a difference of 0.4 °C) and lows are above it (a difference of 0.8 °C).

A gap of one or two degrees is ordinary variation from year to year. A gap larger than that over a fortnight points to an unusually warm or cool spell, often tied to a persistent high-pressure area or to a run of northerly or southerly outbreaks. Highs and lows can move in different directions: cloudy nights are mild, clear nights are cold.

For rain, the November normal in Neufchâteau is about 86 mm for the whole month. Pro rata, 15 days would share about 43 mm; the forecast adds up to 136.5 mm, around 317 % of that share. Rain falls in bursts, so a single front can account for most of a fortnight's total, and the pro rata figure is only a yardstick.

What to watch in Neufchâteau

  • Wettest day: Tuesday 17 Nov, with 41.7 mm. Rain reaches at least 1 mm on 11 of the 15 days, so check the later days again before planning outdoor events.
  • Strongest gusts: Tuesday 17 Nov, up to 72 km/h. That is strong enough to disrupt ferries, flights and high-sided vehicles, so check the warnings as the day approaches.
  • Coldest night: Saturday 21 Nov, down to -1 °C. Frost is possible: protect plants, and take care on roads and paths first thing in the morning.
  • Warnings are separate from this forecast. They are issued by the RMI (Royal Meteorological Institute), which has the final word in severe weather: see the weather warnings page for active ones.

These readings are recomputed from the same Open-Meteo forecast as the table above, and from the climate normals described on the methodology page.

weer-meteo.be · Open-Meteo data