Forecast: Heavy rain: 55 mm in 24 h expected in Sainte-Ode

Automated newsroom of weer-meteo.be · Published 17 November 2026 · Updated 17 November 2026 · 3 min read

Forecast event, based on the forecast of 15 November 2026. The model forecasts 55 mm of rain in 24 hours in Sainte-Ode (Luxembourg) on 17 November 2026, above the local threshold of 50 mm. Such a total quickly saturates soils and drainage, especially if it falls within a few hours.

The figures

10 cities tracked by weer-meteo.be in Belgium exceed the 50 mm threshold for this phenomenon. The most affected is Sainte-Ode (Luxembourg) with 55 mm on 17 November 2026. Other cities affected: Gerpinnes, Waimes and Onhaye. The event is expected on 17 November 2026. These are model forecasts for the city's grid point, not measurements.

Cities affected

Timeline

For Sainte-Ode, the model puts the maximum around 18:00. The chart and the table give the hour-by-hour forecast over 24 hours; the quantity shown is the hourly rain (mm) on the day of the peak, when it falls within 72 hours. A narrow peak means a short, intense episode, a broad curve a lasting one.

The map

The map locates the most affected cities in Belgium (at most 10). Where several dots touch, the event is widespread; an isolated dot means a local event, caused by terrain or by a nearby lake or sea.

Historical context

No long climate series is attached to this phenomenon for Sainte-Ode: no nearby official station provides a comparable daily record in this site's data. The comparison is therefore limited to the city's 1991–2020 normal where one exists. A historical rank is shown only when a nearby reference station can place the value, rather than an invented ranking.

In Sainte-Ode, the 1991–2020 normal monthly total for November is 85 mm; the one-day rain forecast is 65% of it.

What it means

One millimetre of rain is one litre of water per square metre: 55 mm means 55 litres on every square metre of Sainte-Ode in a day. The local threshold of 50 mm comes from the estimated daily 95th percentile of the nearest reference station, with a floor of 30 mm, or is a fixed 50 mm when no station is close; crossing it does not mean a flood, but soil and rivers then have little margin.

What to do

• Stay away from riverbanks, underpasses and basements during the rain peaks: water rises faster than you think.
• Clear gutters, drains and gullies in front of your home before the episode, and move valuables off the ground floor and out of the cellar.
• Never cross a flooded road on foot or by car: 30 cm of water is enough to destabilise a vehicle. Check river levels if your municipality publishes them.

This page is a snapshot of the forecast of 15 November 2026. It is not changed afterwards, even if the model moves on: up-to-date forecasts are on the city pages linked on this page.

Method and limits

The figures in this article are computed automatically from the Open-Meteo forecasts for the cities tracked by weer-meteo.be. An article is written only if a precise threshold is crossed (a 24-hour rainfall above the 95th percentile of the nearest reference station (fixed threshold of 50 mm without a reference series, never below 30 mm)), at most 2 times a week per country, and never twice for the same event. Forecasts are recomputed three times a day, so an event can be spotted up to eight hours late. A forecast is not a measurement and does not replace official warnings: check the official warnings (IRM / KMI) before any decision.